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Journal Article

Commodity prices and P-star


Abstract: An illustration of how the P-star indicator of future inflation can be modified to include information about the recent behavior of commodity prices. This approach yields more accurate short-run inflation forecasts while still retaining the property that, over the long run, only money matters.

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Bibliographic Information

Provider: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Part of Series: Economic Review

Publication Date: 1992

Volume: 28

Issue: Q I

Pages: 11-17