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Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Working Papers
Peers’ Income and Financial Distress: Evidence from Lottery Winners and Neighboring Bankruptcies
Sumit Agarwal
Vyacheslav Mikhed
Barry Scholnick
Abstract

We examine whether relative income differences among peers can generate financial distress. Using lottery winnings as plausibly exogenous variations in the relative income of peers, we find that the dollar magnitude of a lottery win of one neighbor increases subsequent borrowing and bankruptcies among other neighbors. We also examine which factors may mitigate lenders’ bankruptcy risk in these neighborhoods. We show that bankruptcy filers obtain more secured but not unsecured debt, and lenders provide additional credit to low-risk but not high-risk debtors. In addition, we find evidence consistent with local lenders taking advantage of soft information to mitigate credit risk.


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Sumit Agarwal & Vyacheslav Mikhed & Barry Scholnick, Peers’ Income and Financial Distress: Evidence from Lottery Winners and Neighboring Bankruptcies, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Working Papers 18-22, 24 Oct 2018.
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Keywords: financial distress; social comparisons among peers
DOI: https://doi.org/10.21799/frbp.wp.2018.22
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