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Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Macro Bulletin
How Much Would China’s GDP Respond to a Slowdown in Housing Activity?
Thomas R. Cook
Jun Nie
Aaron Smalter Hall
Abstract

We analyze China’s interindustry connections and show that China’s housing activity has become increasingly important to its GDP growth. Our results suggest that a 10 percent decline in final demand for real estate and housing-related construction would lead to a decline in total output of 2.2 percent, an effect more than two times larger than it would have been 10 years ago.


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Thomas R. Cook & Jun Nie & Aaron Smalter Hall, "How Much Would China’s GDP Respond to a Slowdown in Housing Activity?" , Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Macro Bulletin, pages 1-5, number 00068, Sep 12 2018.
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Keywords: China; Housing; Real Estate Investments
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