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Discussion Paper
Locally Owned: Do Local Business Ownership and Size Matter for Local Economic Well-being?
Rupasingha, Anil (2013-08-01)
The concept of “economic gardening”—supporting locally owned businesses over nonlocally owned businesses and small businesses over large ones—has gained traction as a means of economic development since the 1980s. However, there is no definitive evidence for or against this prolocal business view. Therefore, I am using a rich U.S. county-level data set to obtain a statistical characterization of the relationship between local-based entrepreneurship and county economic performance for the period 2000–2009. I investigate the importance of the size of locally based businesses relative ...
FRB Atlanta Community and Economic Development Discussion Paper , Paper 2013-01

Working Paper
The Effect of the Conservation Reserve Program on Rural Economies: Deriving a Statistical Verdict from a Null Finding
Wojan, Timothy R.; Lambert, Dayton; Brown, Jason (2018-05-01)
This article suggests two methods for deriving a statistical verdict from a null finding,allowing economists to more confidently conclude when ?not significant" can in fact be interpreted as ?no substantive effect." The proposed methodology can be extended to a variety of empirical contexts where size and power matter. The example used to demonstrate the method is the Economic Research Service's 2004 Report to Congress that was charged with statistically identifying any unintended negative employment consequences of the Conservation Reserve Program (the Program). The report failed to ...
Research Working Paper , Paper RWP 18-4

Working Paper
The City Paradox: Skilled Services and Remote Work
Althoff, Lukas; Ganapati, Sharat; Walsh, Conor; Eckert, Fabian (2020-12-03)
Large cities in the US are the most expensive places to live. Paradoxically, this cost is paid disproportionately by workers who could work remotely, and live anywhere. The greater potential for remote work in large cities is mostly accounted for by their specialization in skill- and information-intensive service industries. We highlight that this specialization makes these cities vulnerable to remote work shocks. When high-skill workers begin to work from home or leave the city altogether, they withdraw spending from local consumer service industries that rely heavily on their demand. As a ...
Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Papers , Paper 43

Working Paper
Do Research Universities Recession Proof Their Regions? Evidence from State Flagship College Towns
Jump, Robert Calvert; Scavette, Adam (2024-06-07)
Using synthetic differences-in-differences models, we study whether U.S. counties containing state flagship universities experienced resiliency via lower unemployment rates during the past three U.S. recessions. We find an insignificant effect for the 2001 recession and a large resiliency effect for the 2008-2009 recession. However, counties with flagship universities faced higher unemployment rates during the 2020 recession, and were therefore less resilient to the Covid-19 recession than other counties. These results support the hypothesis that stable consumption demand for non-tradables ...
Working Paper , Paper 24-05

Speech
The national and regional economy
Dudley, William (2014-10-07)
Remarks at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, New York.
Speech , Paper 144

Convening Identifies Key Resources for Communities Replacing Lead Service Lines
Anderson, Nathan B.; Castro, Maria; Cisar, Elizabeth; Cuenca, Karen; Saxena, Suchi (2024-06)
Communities across the United States are beginning to map and replace lead service lines (LSLs) to comply with new state and federal safe drinking water policies aimed at reducing the risk of lead exposure through drinking water.1 The states in the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago’s Seventh District—Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin—are estimated to have over 2 million lead pipes, according to a September 2023 report to Congress by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Office of Water; Illinois and Wisconsin rank among the top ten states with the most lead ...
Chicago Fed Insights

Journal Article
Community banks and rural development: research relating to proposals to revise the regulations that implement the Community Reinvestment Act
Mok, Shannon C.; Canner, Glenn B.; Sokolov, Dan S.; Avery, Robert B. (2005-04)
Since 1977, the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) has required that federally insured banking institutions be evaluated on their records of helping to meet the credit needs of their local communities. In 1995, the agencies responsible for bank supervision substantially revised the regulations that implement the CRA. The revisions were intended to emphasize performance rather than process, to reduce unnecessary regulatory burden, and to increase consistency in CRA evaluations. Since 1995, "large" institutions, generally those with assets of $250 million or more, have been evaluated under a ...
Federal Reserve Bulletin , Volume 91 , Issue Spr

Working Paper
Mobility and Engagement Following the SARS-Cov-2 Outbreak
Koenig, Evan F.; Koch, Christoffer; Dolmas, Jim; Murphy, Anthony; Mertens, Karel; Yi, Kei-Mu; Atkinson, Tyler (2020-05-21)
We develop a Mobility and Engagement Index (MEI) based on a range of mobility metrics from Safegraph geolocation data, and validate the index with mobility data from Google and Unacast. We construct MEIs at the county, MSA, state and nationwide level, and link these measures to indicators of economic activity. According to our measures, the bulk of sheltering-in-place and social disengagement occurred during the week of March 15 and simultaneously across the U.S. At the national peak of the decline in mobility in early April, localities that engaged in a 10% larger decrease in mobility than ...
Working Papers , Paper 2014

Working Paper
The Geography of Travel Behavior in the Early Phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Mangum, Kyle; Brinkman, Jeffrey (2020-09-28)
We use a panel of county-level location data derived from cellular devices in the U.S. to track travel behavior and its relationship with COVID-19 cases in the early stages of the outbreak. We find that travel activity dropped significantly as case counts rose locally. People traveled less overall, and they specifically avoided areas with relatively larger outbreaks, independent of government restrictions on mobility. The drop in activity limited exposure to out-of-county virus cases, which we show was important because such case exposure generated new cases inside a county. This suggests the ...
Working Papers , Paper 20-38

Working Paper
Income Inequality and Economic Growth in United States Counties: 1990s, 2000s and 2010s
Fee, Kyle (2025-02-18)
Using a common reduced-form regional growth model framework, an expanded geographic classification of counties, additional years of data, a trio of income inequality metrics, and multiple empirical specifications, this analysis confirms and builds upon the notion that the nature of the relationship between income inequality and economic growth varies across geography (Fallah and Partridge, 2007). A positive relationship between an income Gini coefficient and per capita income growth is observed only in central metro counties with population densities greater than 915 people per square mile or ...
Working Papers , Paper 25-05

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